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Small play on under 77 in this early (12 noon) start on Saturday in Greenville, NC. The Pirates are playing their opener and may get off to a slow start. There are going to be plenty of points scored but a 45-28 type of game still goes under by a few points.
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Syracuse has gotten off to a slow start with losses against Pittsburgh and North Carolina, but it gets it first game in the dome which could make a difference even without a packed house. The struggles are not surprising with a young team and after two games with the offense a bit off, there have been chances and opportunities that could start to click in this week. Quarterback Tommy DeVito has been held in check, but this is a good matchup to get him going early to take some shots downfield. The Orange defense can keep up a stellar run stop and rattle Georgia Tech freshman quarterback Jeff Sims into enough opportunities to do it. They are employing a new 3-3-5 defense and that is one that the Yellow Jackets have not faced. Unlike before, the Orange are employing a more flexible defensive system that seems to matchup better against dual threat offenses. Sims has thrown four interceptions in two games, and his mistakes will allow the Orange to stay in the game. The Yellow Jackets are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite while the Orange are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Play (398) Syracuse Orange
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This game here really seems like a big overreaction in the line. Louisville just played a very good Miami team and actually outplayed them racking up over 500 total yards. They actually outgunned Miami but yet lost the game by double digits. The main reason for that was because they lost the turnover battle 3-0. Pitt won a classic ugly game vs Cuse which I did have Cuse and never had to sweat it. They aren't going to be able to control the game on the ground like they would like. I think Louisville wins this game outright as the wrong team is favored.
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PICK - West Virginia Mountaineers +6.5
I know we could have got a better number with the Mountaineers earlier in the week, but I still think there's a ton of value with West Virginia catching almost a touchdown against Oklahoma State.
There's a lot of crazy shit that happens out of the gate, but few things stood out more to me than how bad the Cowboys looked in a 16-7 victory over Tulsa. It didn't help that starting quarterback Spencer Sanders got hurt and had to leave the game, but what's the excuse for how bad Chuba Hubbard was against a Tulsa defense that only brought back 4 starters.
Keep in mind Cowboys had over 500 yards vs the Golden Hurricane last year and Hubbard rushed for 256 yards on 32 attempts (8.0 ypc).
Hubbard only had 93 yards on 27 attempts (3.4 ypc) against Tulsa this time around and needed a big 4th quarter to even come close to 100 yards.
To me the offensive line wasn't up to par for Oklahoma State and that's likely to fix itself. I also don't think Sanders plays (this line wouldn't be what it is if he was playing). I just feel the Cowboys are not close to the No. 15 team in the country.
West Virginia played a cupcake in their opener against Eastern Kentucky, but were dominant in route to a 56-10 win. They had a 624 to 206 edge in total yards and had 42 points by the half. I like their head coach Neal Brown and they had a lot of experience back with 14 returning starters. They might make a bigger jump than expected in year two under Brown. I like them to win this game. Give me the Mountaineers +6.5!
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