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Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Memphis Grizzlies +5
The Houston Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back Wednesday after a shootout win over the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. They won’t have much left in the tank after facing a Hawks team that ranks 1st in the league in pace. They are also expected to rest Eric Gordon, and he may not be the only one.
Now the Rockets have to face a rested Grizzlies team that will be working on three days’ rest after last playing on Saturday. It’s also a Memphis team that has been great at home here of late. Indeed, the Grizzlies are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games with four upset wins over the Magic, Jazz, Blazers and Lakers.
The Rockets are 4-11-1 ATS in there last 16 games vs. a team with a losing record. Houston is 7-14 ATS as a road favorite this season. The Rockets are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last five vs. Western Conference opponents. Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Orlando Magic -9
The Orlando Magic are coming off two straight double-digit wins over the Cavs and Hawks to stay alive in the Eastern Conference playoff race. And I expect them to make it three in a row tonight over the New Orleans Pelicans, who have gone 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. This is a depleted Pelicans team that will be playing without three starters in Jrue Holiday, Anthony Davis and E’Twaun Moore. The Magic are 11-1 ATS off four or more consecutive unders over the last three seasons. Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games. Give me the Magic.
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Free Play on Bulls +3½ -110
San Antonio is playing its best basketball winning nine games in a row. DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge are each playing at very high levels. So is there any reason to step in against the Spurs? In this case, yes. The Spurs are in a sandwich spot off a huge home win against the Warriors this past Monday and taking on the Rockets on Friday. The Heat are at least a tier below the Spurs. But they are playing well, too, going 7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS. The Heat rank No. 3 in the NBA defensively, hold a point guard advantage with Goran Dragic back healthy and have been at their best on the road where they have covered 73 percent of their past 26 away contests.
1* Free NBA Pick on Cleveland Cavaliers +9.5
Love the value here with Cleveland as a near double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. The Cavs have the 3rd worst record in the NBA and simply are going to be showing value against a lot of teams down the stretch, especially at home, as the public just can't stomach betting on bad teams.
The key is looking for the ideal times to take them and I think this is one of them. Cleveland has won 5 of 7 at home since the All-Star break and simply are a much better team than their record. Kevin Love has only played in 16 games and they have been a lot more competitive since he returned. Rookie Collin Sexton has also taken his game to another level. He's averaging 22.7 ppg in March (only averaged 13.3 ppg in January).
Let's also not overlook the fact that the Bucks have been struggling here of late. Milwaukee is just 5-4 in their last 9 and are having to deal with the injury to Malcolm Brogdon. There's also a chance Giannis doesn't play or is limited, as he had to sit out their last game with an ankle injury. Take Cleveland!
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Ross Benjamin has a college basketball 3-Game Dynamo on Wednesday with the first tip coming at 7:00 ET. Ross’ CBB picks are 27-15 (64%) L42, 55-35 (61%) L90, and 86-58 (60%) L144. His CBB 10* Top Plays are an excellent 32-14 (70%) L46!
Utah @ New York 7:35 PM ET
Play On: Under 209.0
Utah has gone under in each of their last 5 contests and did so by an enormous average of 21.7 points per game. The jazz allowed just 97.6 points per game during those 5 outings. New York has gone over in 8 straight as a home underdog and there’s a total of 220.0 or less. There were only a collective 203.6 points scored per game in those 8 contests and the Knicks tallied a mere 96.6 per outing. Bet on this game to go under the total.
Play - Dallas Mavericks (Game 579).
Edges - Mavericks: 25-12 ATS as dogs against rested foes this season, including 17-7 ATS when coming off a loss … Trail Blazers: 6-18 ATS in this series, including 0-4 ATS the last four … We recommend a 1* play on Dallas. Thank you and good luck as always.
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