Ray Monohan Sports Handicapper from Cappers Picks

Rays ML

Probable Pitchers: TOR - Y. Kikuchi-L vs TAM - T. Bradley-R 

Kikuchi (who is now 32) takes the mound Sunday for the Jays. He's had a decent season. But he's prone to off days like all the good pitchers around and this Rays lineup can hit from 1-9. The southpaw boasts a respectable 3.74 ERA and a 170:46 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 158.2 innings, over 30 starts.

Taj Bradley has experienced a rollercoaster of a first season in the major leagues. In his latest outing, he didn't play a significant role in the decision on Tuesday, conceding one run on three hits and one walk during a five-inning performance against the Angels. He managed to strike out six batters. It was by all accounts his best outing in a while. He just didn't get the W. Over his last four starts since his recall from Triple-A on September 3rd, he has maintained a 4.29 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a 25:11 K:BB ratio across 21 innings. 

But having said all that I trust the Rays at home on Sunday to get this done. Off the back of their 9th inning win over the Jays last night I think momentum has swung in this series back to the Rays. They'll rally around their young arm and all will be good on Sunday afternoon.

Every game is critical for the Jays. They're playing with a lot of pressure at their backs. Toronto (86-69) leads Houston (85-70) by one game in the race for the second AL wild card spot, while the Mariners (84-70) are trailing the Astros by just half a game. 

Some trends to note, Toronto are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games, and they're 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing as the favourite.

We're on the Rays ML on Sunday. (This will be a close one, but back the home side)

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* MLB ML Play

Seahawks -5

The Panthers (0-2, 0-1-1 ATS) are gearing up to face the Seahawks (1-1, 1-1 ATS) at Lumen Field, with kickoff set for 4PM. It's a crucial match as both teams look to improve their NFC records. The betting odds tell a compelling story. The Seahawks are currently sitting at -6.5 points. When it comes to the ML, the Hawks are at -290, while the Panthers stand at +235. The Total, is set at 41.5 (O/U). As we approach Sunday betting action, the Seahawks' number has seen a slight dip, reflecting the influence of sharp money or public money flowing in on Carolina.

The injury reports are a mess, and as I write this we still don't have the Friday NFL reports, so please check those out there are a number of key injuries on both sides in this one. They do play a factor.

Bryce Young is going to get an introduction to a road-game-playoff-atmosphere on Sunday in Seattle. Always one of the loudest venues to play at Lumen can be a nightmare for rookie QB's trying to make adjustments at the line. (It's damn near impossible). Bobby Wagner will have this Hawks D flying all over the field on Sunday, and IF they get Jamal Adams back (I think they do) it will be even tougher for Young.

The Panthers are losing defensive starters daily. Horn, then Thompson. These guys are needed to win road games when facing the likes of Smith, Metcalf, Lockett, and Smith-Njigba. This is a tall task for the Panthers defense. Throw in Walker III and Charbonnet coming down hill at you all day and this doesn't look good. 

IF for some reason Dalton starts the 7 points (Hawks will cover the 5) will be tougher to cover, but having said that with Young, the Hawks will win by 10-14). The Hawks got right last week with a huge road win over the Lions in a crazy loud Detroit.

Some trends to note, Carolina are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road, are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against Seattle.

This is a long trip for the Panthers on a short week, and we're on the Hawks -5 on Sunday. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 5* FREE NFL ATS Play

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Packers -1

In one of the many 1 PM ET NFL kickoffs on Sunday afternoon, the Green Bay Packers (2-0, 2-0 ATS this year) gear up for their home opener while the New Orleans Saints (2-0, 0-1-1 ATS) face their second consecutive road challenge. This will be a great matchup from Lambeau Field. Straight up bettors will get the Saints at +105, for the Packers -125. The spread has bounced around from -2 to PK, currently its at -1. The O/U is 42.5.

The Saints kicked off the Derek Carr era with a thrilling 16-15 victory against the Titans in New Orleans. In Week 2, on Monday night, they narrowly escaped the Panthers, 20-17. On the other side, the Packers had a strong start to their season with a commanding 38-20 win against division rival Bears but suffered a heartbreaking loss last week to the Falcons, falling short 25-24.

While I've always been a huge fan of Derek Carr, there's something about what Jordan Love brings to the Packers that's truly exciting. In his recent performance, Love impressed by completing 14/25 for 151 yards and notching 3 TD's. He even added 23 rushing yards to his stat line. Despite the Saints' formidable defense, I can't help but think they'll struggle against the Packers this Sunday. A short week, cross-country travel, and the Lambeau effect all seem to stack the odds against them.

Love's consistency is evident with 3x TD passes in both games this season, and it's promising to see rookie WR's benefiting. The Packers' WR's are stepping up, and with a bit of luck on the injury front (keep an eye on those reports), they might welcome back key players like Bakhtiari, Jones, and Watson. With one of the NFL's top offensive lines, the Packers can protect Love and neutralize the Saints' pass rush. For the Saints to have a shot on Sunday, Carr and Olave will need to elevate their play to another level. With the Saints' running back corps dealing with injuries, the run game won't be much of a threat.

Some trends to note, the Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, are also 13-5 SU in their last 18 games at home, and are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall. The Saints are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in September.

I'm backing the Packers -1 on Sunday. They'll get this done! Go Pack Go!

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Titans +3.5

Sunday the Titans (1-1, 2-0 ATS) take on the Browns (1-1, 1-1 ATS) in Cleveland in NFL Week 3 action. The initial odds favor the Browns, with a 4.5-point advantage over the Titans. Cleveland sits at -225 on the moneyline, while Tennessee stands at +180. The over/under is set at 41.5 points. The Browns are looking to bounce back from a close 26-22 loss to the Steelers, while the Titans are riding high after a 27-24 victory over the Chargers. 

We're on the Titans here, with the points.

Tennessee and Cleveland battle on Sunday afternoon as Cleveland begins life without Nick Chubb. They signed Kareem Hunt to try and fill the void, but we saw what this team looks like without their star RB last week.

Watson has struggled and now all eyes are on him this week.

The pressure caused a lot of issues for him against Pittsburgh and the Titans can take some out of their playbook. Look for the to put pressure on Watson all day long here. 

Some trends to note, the Titans are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against Cleveland, and are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. Also, the Titans are 5-2 ATS in their L7 in September. Lastly, the Titans boasted a 4-2 ATS record in games where they entered as 3-point underdogs last season.

We're backing the Titans +3.5 on Sunday.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins -6.5

A nice matchup Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins, 2-0, are hosting the struggling Broncos, 0-2. The current betting lines on the moneyline, the Broncos are listed at +240, while the Dolphins stand at -300. In terms of the spread, the Broncos are getting +7 points, while the Dolphins are giving up 7 points. Additionally, the over/under is set at 46.5 points.

Miami looks like a team that can put together a lot here in 2023.

They come in 2-0 after winning on SNF in New England last week. Offensively, Tua has been dynamite and has this Dolphins side putting together some solid drives. They're sustaining drives and keeping the ball out of the opposing teams hands which has been key.

Denver has had far too many issues thus far. They have struggled on both sides of the ball and inconsistencies have killed them. This is a case where we should see Miami control the clock and put themselves into some short yardage situations.

With the struggles Denver has had, they are going to be too much to overcome here against a good Miami team. 

Some trends to note, Denver are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Miami, and they're 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Also, they're 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami. On the other side, the Fins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, and they're 13-3 SU in their last 16 games when playing as the fav.

Back the Fins ATS.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play