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Guaranteed Best NFL Free Picks from Pro Cappers
1 Unit FREE PLAY on New England Patriots -5.5
This is a very tough spot for the Oakland Raiders. They will be working on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. They are now in a letdown spot after upsetting the Saints, and they have to travel all the way out East for an early 1:00 EST start time to face the Patriots. It’s a Patriots team that will be hungry after coming up just one yard short against the Seahawks last week. The Raiders are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 games off an upset win as a home underdog. The Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a loss. The Raiders are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 road games. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a win. New England is 31-11 ATS in its last 42 games after allowing more than 30 points last game. The Patriots are 43-21-3 ATS in their last 67 home games. Give me the Patriots.
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1* Free Pick on Chiefs/Ravens over 52½ -108
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Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5
The Tampa Bay Bucs are only going to continue to get better as the season goes along. Now with two games under their belts, Tom Brady and company should be hitting on all cylinders in Week 3 against the hapless Denver Broncos.
The Bucs have remained one of the healthiest teams in the NFL. They will get Chris Godwin back from a concussion this week to give Brady his full compliment of receivers. And the Bucs should torch a Broncos defense that is banged up and giving up 393.5 yards per game through two games against the Titans and Steelers.
Speaking of banged up, the Broncos also have a plethora of injuries on offense. Jeff Driskel will get the start this week after Drew Lock was knocked out with a shoulder injury last week. The Broncos made Lock their QB of the future, so this is a bigger loss than is being factored into the line. Not to mention, Driskel won’t have his best receiver in Courtland Sutton, who returned from injury last week only to suffer a torn ACL.
Tampa Bay does have a fast, underrated defense that gets overlooked because of all the weapons they have on offense. They held the Saints to just 271 total yards in Week 1 in a game that was much closer than the 23-34 final score would indicate. And last week they forced four Carolina Panthers turnovers to aid their 31-17 victory.
The Buccaneers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a losing record. The Broncos are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight September games. Denver is 8-23-1 ATS in its last 32 games after allowing more than 350 yards in its previous game. Bet the Buccaneers Sunday.
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Dave’s Sunday Free Play:
1* on Buffalo Bills -1
The Key: This is a difficult situation for the Los Angeles Rams. They were just out East last week against the Eagles, traveled back home, and now they have to travel back East to face one of the best teams in the NFL in the Buffalo Bills. It will be an early 10:00 AM body clock games for the Rams. The Bills are the real deal, and Josh Allen is playing at an MVP level. Allen leads a Buffalo offense that is scoring 29 PPG and averaging 464 YPG. I would call it pretty much a wash offensively, but the Bills defenitely have the better defense in this matchup, and they’re at home in a much more favorable situation than the Rams. Take Buffalo.
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ASA FREE PLAY ON Houston +4 over Pittsburgh, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - We really like Pittsburgh this year but it’s going to take awhile for their offense to get in synch after QB Roethlisberger missed an entire year. He’s been decent in the first 2 games but still doesn’t look himself at times. While the Steelers are 2-0, they’ve struggled in those games facing 2 teams that have a combined 0-4 record this season – Giants & Broncos. Last week at home vs an undermanned Denver team, the Steelers barely held on to win despite the fact that Bronco starting QB Lock left early in the game and did not return. Here they get a Houston team that has easily played the toughest schedule in the NFL thus far losing to the Chiefs & Ravens, the 2 best teams in the NFL according to most power rankings. The Texans are now in desperation mode as going 0-3 to start the season would almost eliminate them from the playoffs historically speaking. This was a playoff team last year led by one of the top QB’s in the NFL, Deshaun Watson. Teams that start the season 0-2 SU are a money making 33-16 ATS in their 3rd game of the year dating back to 2014. During that same span, teams that start 2-0 SU are 21-26 ATS in their 3rd game and both fall in line with this game. Let’s not forget this is a Houston team that was in the playoffs last year fighting for their lives. Pittsburgh is taking a huge step up in competition here and didn’t look all that dominant in their first 2 games. This is a reverse line movement play which we like as not surprisingly over 60% of the wagers are on Pittsburgh but the line has dropped to -4. Pitt is just 4-10-1 ATS their last 15 games as a favorite and we’ll call for a close game here. The points are worth taking.
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Denver is 0-2 and have suffered a lot of injuries to some key players. Last week that included their starting QB in Lock and WR Sutton who was lost for the year. They already have some defensive injuries as well losing Von Miller for the year before the season started. While those are concerns I do like what Driskell did last week keeping them in the ball @ Pitt. Essentially Denver has done nothing wrong in the eyes of the odds makers since they have covered both games.
Tampa quite frankly hasn't proven anything worth noting to be laying such a crazy price on the road here. Last week that was extremely misleading as they won the turnover battle 4-2 but the spread didn't come into play until they housed a 50 yard TD run when the game was over making it seem worse than what it was. Brady hasn't done anything special with the offense barely throwing for over 200 yards in both games. Broncos and the points here are the right side
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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday.
We've won with the 'over' in each of the Falcons first two games this season while also cashing a ticket fading the Bears in their narrow home win over the Giants last Sunday. Here, I'll stick with what works and back the 'over' again as the Falcons return home to host Chicago. While the Bears offense certainly doesn't look all that imposing on paper, it should have a field day against a listless Falcons defense on Sunday. This is another smash spot for WR Allen Robinson against an Atlanta secondary that simply won't be able to cover him with any consistency. The Falcons have done a nice job of stopping the run in the early going but I don't expect the Bears to bang their heads against the wall trying to run it here. Atlanta will be in desperation mode coming off back-to-back losses to open the season, with the most recent coming in truly demoralizing fashion. As usual, the Falcons offense has been on point in the early going and should find continued success against a good, but not great Bears defense here. Playing on the fast track at the Mercedes-Benz Dome obviously helps their cause. Take the over (8*).
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