Sean Murphy Handicapper Review & Free Sports Picks

My selection is on the 'over' between Milwaukee and Washington at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

This total indicates the high potential for a track meet on Monday night, just as we saw the last time these two teams met back in January when they combined to score a whopping 282 points in Milwaukee. Note that the Wizards have posted a 9-1 o/u record after failing to cover the spread in consecutive games this season with those contests totaling an average of nearly 243 points. There's no reason to shy away from playing 'over' these high totals with the Wiz involved as the 'over' has gone 19-10 in their games where the total has been set at 230 points or higher, with those contests finishing with an average of just under 244 total points. The Bucks have come storming out of the All-Star break with back-to-back blowout wins over the Pistons and 76ers but I could certainly envision a bit of a letdown here, and that should open the door for a competitive, high-scoring affair in the nation's capital. Take the over (10*).

Monday NBA Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Phoenix and Utah at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

We can expect the Jazz to bring a great deal of intensity to this one as they try to snap a two-game skid on their home floor. Phoenix is in a tough spot, playing its third game in the last four nights, in altitude no less. The Suns are coming off a nice come-from-behind victory on Saturday night, but that came at the expense of the struggling Bulls. While they did manage to defeat the Jazz in their first meeting this season, they scored only 96 points in the process and that came at home. Note that the 'under' has gone 11-3 in all Suns games where the total has been set between 220 and 229.5 points this season. Take the under (8*).

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My selection is on Utah minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Monday.

The Jazz are coming off back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Rockets here on their home floor but they do draw a 'get right' matchup with the Suns on Monday night. Note that Utah has gone 40-22 ATS the last 62 times it has played at home following a double-digit home loss. Phoenix is a miserable 19-35 ATS playing on the road against a winning team in the second half of the season over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of nearly 14 points in those games. The Jazz desperately need to turn things around before facing what will be a highly-motivated, and championship-contending Celtics squad in their next game. Meanwhile, Phoenix could have one foot on the plane as it prepares to return home for its next six games after completing this three-game in four-night stretch. Take Utah (10*).

Monday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and Columbus at 7:05 pm et on Monday.

Despite facing one of the league's worst teams in the Ottawa Senators, I expect the Blue Jackets to approach this one with 'playoff intensity' as they play one of their two games in hand on the two squads they're chasing in the Eastern Conference Wild Card hunt. Note that the 'under' has gone 8-2 when the Blue Jackets host an opponent with a losing record this season with those games averaging just 4.6 total goals. Interestingly enough, the 'under' is 16-5 when the Jackets host teams that allow 2.85 goals or more per game, as is the case with the Senators. Ottawa checks in having posted a 3-8 o/u record over its last 11 contests. Take the under (8*).

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CBB Big 12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Oklahoma State and Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday.

Kansas enters this game having shot better than 50% from the field in back-to-back games, including a huge win at Baylor in a revenge spot on Saturday. Note that Oklahoma State hasn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% from the field since back on February 1st against Oklahoma. That stretch includes a game in which the Cowboys held the Jayhawks to 38.9% shooting, albeit in a 15-point loss (that game totaled only 115 points). Note that the 'under' has gone 79-49 when Kansas comes off back-to-back games shooting at least 50% from the field going all the way back to 1997. The 'under' is also 16-5 when Oklahoma State comes off a double-digit win over the last three seasons. Take the under (10*).