Will Rogers Handicapping Review & Free Picks Page

The Stars are back home after a lengthy road trip. Dallas won their last four straight, all on the road. Previous to this stretch, they were a miserable 4-12 as a road team this season, so they’ve been playing surprisingly well lately. At home, it is a different story; they are a dominant 14-4 to date. The Caps are 3-7 in their last 10 games and the list of teams they have beaten in this stretch is unimpressive. They have also struggled badly this season when playing out on the west coast. Neither projected goaltender has been especially sharp. Samsonov has only played twice in the last two weeks and lost both games.

I favor the Stars in this match-up. Dominant at home, they catch a Washington team at a low point and on the road. Take the Stars to steal this one.

Spurs’ home games tend to be rather high scoring, so I’ll bet this one to “go high.” An average of 226.5 total points per game is scored when they open the doors at the Alamo. While we need a few more than that tonight, I think we get it. 

Chicago is getting back to full strength and has scored 111 points in each of its last two contests. They are top ten in the league in scoring and had a very efficient night vs. Toronto on Wednesday. Both DeRozan and LaVine had 23 or more points.

San Antonio is also top ten in scoring. They could only manage 110 points in their last game, which was the second night of a back to back against Memphis. But the game before that, against Houston, they finished with 134 points.

Expect the Spurs to shoot better here than they did against the Grizzlies from long distance. Making only 24% of their attempts in the Memphis game was their worst effort on threes since November 18th. 

The Bulls also haven’t shot it that well from long range of late. But they are 37.7% for the season, so expect a turnaround from them as well. Take the Over.

Lehigh has covered three straight games, but all of those were as underdogs. Tonight marks just the second time in conference action that they’re favored and once again the opponent is Holy Cross. The Mountain Hawks did win and cover that first matchup, 77-69 laying 6.5 points, back on January 10th. But that was at home and with HC having a poor shooting night.

The line for this game, at Holy Cross, is almost the same as it was for the game three weeks ago. That seems strange. Lehigh is just 2-12 ATS its last 14 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in that role this season. Tonight is the first time in 2021-22 that they have been giving points on the road. 

Holy Cross’ record is a pretty woeful 3-15, but this is a game the Crusaders can win. Even though they missed 14 of the 18 three-point attempts they took, the first meeting with Lehigh was decided by only eight points. HC shoots much better from behind the arc when they are at home (38%).

All of the Crusaders wins this year have come at home. Lehigh is 9-29 in its last 38 road games, 3-8 this season. Take the points.