Matt Fargo Sports Handicapper Review & Free Picks

This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. This is the second of a home-and-home between Montreal and Saskatchewan after the Alouettes rolled over the Roughriders last week 37-13. Montreal is now 1-2 on the season and has covered all three games as it lost to Toronto by a point and Calgary by a field goal, both on the road. The win last week was deceiving however as the Alouettes outgained Saskatchewan by only five total yards as they returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown and took advantage of two interceptions by Cody Fajardo, one returned for a touchdown. Additionally, the Roughriders did not help their cause by committing 11 penalties for 106 yards. That win was the first this season by a team from the East over a team from the West and on the season, the East is 1-9 against its counterpart division. Saskatchewan opened the season with a pair of double-digit wins against Hamilton and Edmonton and while those are two of the worst teams in the league, Montreal is not that much better and the loss last week can be blamed on the intangibles more than anything. To be fair, Fajardo was not good last week as he threw for only 191 yards to go along with those two picked and had a passer rating of 51.3 after posting ratings of 110.3 and 118.6 in his first two games. The Roughriders are ranked No. 2 in overall defense and No. 1 against the run and they held Montreal to just 60 yards on the ground last week. Expect the defense to come up strong again against either Trevor Harris or Vernon Davis, Jr. Here, we play on home teams that are averaging between 385 and 420 ypg going up against teams averaging between 345 and 385 ypg, after allowing 7.6 or more yppl in their previous game. this situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) Saskatchewan Roughriders

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Saturday Underdog Double Play. We lost in the bottom of the ninth with Baltimore last night and we will be back them again today for a lot of the same reasons as it is catching another good number here. The Orioles 21-19 over their last 40 games and while that may look average, being an underdog in 34 of those games has brought home a tremendous ROI. They are nine games under .500 on the road but have shown a profit thanks to underdogs numbers like this. Jordan Lyles has been up and down with a 4.94 ERA in 15 starts after a decent effort against the White Sox and faces an inconsistent Minnesota offense that managed only four hits last night prior to the walk-off home run. Baltimore is 14-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .540 and .620 this season and 12-4 in its last 16 following a loss. Minnesota snapped a two-game losing streak with the Friday win and are 6-7 over their last 13 games and it been plodding along for a while now as since a six-game winning streak was ended on May 24, the Twins are 16-20 and have seen a big lead evaporate in the American League Central. They have been favored in 21 of those 36 games so they have been completely opposite of Baltimore in extended profit. The overall offensive numbers are good but inconsistent as they have scored three runs or less in 10 of their last 19 games. The resurgent Sonny Gray gets the ball and he is coming off another solid effort to lower his ERA to 2.17 but like Joe Ryan last night, he is overpriced. The Twins are 2-9 in their last 11 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play on American League underdogs with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.25 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 or better. This situation is 137-128 (51.7 percent) over the last five seasons and while the percentage seems low, the units are at +65.9. 9* (965) Baltimore Orioles

is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Saturday Underdog Double Play. After snapping a three-game losing streak on Wednesday, the Padres have dropped the first two games of this series as the offense has been handcuffed by scoring just one run in each game. The Padres are now 3.5 games behind the Dodgers in the National League West and they really could use a win and not get too far back in the standing as the All Star break looms. The Padres are 25-17 on the road which is the fourth best record in baseball behind the Dodgers, Yankees and Astros and the second best in the National League. Pitching has dominated overall and San Diego gives the ball to Yu Darvish who is having a very solid season and over his last four starts, he has a 1.61 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. The Padres are 20-7 in their last 27 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Dodgers have won three straight games after the Friday win behind another great performance from Tony Gonsolin who improved to 10-0 on the season. Los Angeles avoided a series sweep at Colorado with an 8-4 win on Wednesday to maintain its lead in the division which has now been extended. The Dodgers have been up and down over the last month as they are 15-14 over their last 29 games and they are back home where they are 22-11 but that includes a 7-7 record in their last 14 games here. Tyler Anderson had a great run of three straight starts by not allowing a run, covering 20 innings but has come back down to earth with a 4.83 ERA over his last four outings. The Dodgers are just 23-24 in their last 47 games when playing against a teams with a winning percentage between .540 and .620. Here, we play on National League road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are hitting .250 or less going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better, in July games. This situation is 27-13 (67.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (959) San Diego Padres