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Free picks
1* Free Pick on Indiana State -125
Indiana State has the clear edge tonight because their offensive efficiency is simply too much for Evansville to handle. The Sycamores are one of the top shooting teams in the Missouri Valley and they move the ball better than almost anyone in the country.
Evansville struggles to close out on shooters and that is a recipe for disaster against this Indiana State lineup. The Aces give up way too many open looks from beyond the arc and rank near the bottom of the conference in defensive eFG%.
Indiana State enters this game with a clean bill of health and no major injuries to their starting rotation. They have had two full days of rest since their last game on Saturday and should be fresh for this road trip.
Evansville relies heavily on forcing turnovers to stay competitive in conference play. However, Indiana State is extremely disciplined with the ball and rarely gives away cheap possessions.
The Sycamores also dominate the defensive glass and limit teams to one shot per trip. Evansville lacks the size and athleticism to create the second-chance points they need to keep pace.
The line is short because of the home-court factor, but the talent gap here is much wider than the price suggests. Indiana State has the better shooters, better ball handlers, and a more consistent defensive identity.
Expect the Sycamores to control the tempo and use their floor spacing to pull Evansville's bigs out of the paint. This creates easy lanes for their guards and will likely lead to a comfortable lead by the second half.
I like the Indiana State ML (-125)
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs Clippers | 76ers +115 | Free | 128-113 | Win | 115 | Show | |
1* Free Pick on 76ers +115 The Philadelphia 76ers hold a massive physical edge tonight as they start their West Coast road trip. Los Angeles had to fly back home late last night and now faces a rested Philly squad that hasn't played since Saturday. Kawhi Leonard logged 30 minutes on Sunday and is a serious risk to sit this one out for load management on the back-to-back. Even if Leonard and Harden suit up, they likely won't have the fresh legs needed to handle Joel Embiid. He averaged nearly 30 points per game in January and is the most physically imposing force in the league. Philly has been a covering machine on the road this year with a 13-7 ATS record away from home. While the Sixers are missing George, Tyrese Maxey provides more than enough backcourt scoring to exploit a fatigued LA perimeter defense. Expect a sluggish start from a Los Angeles team that used up all its energy in a blowout win yesterday. I like the 76ers ML (+115) I have two premium selections available today across the NBA and NCAA-B boards. These plays represent my strongest positions for the current slate and are backed by the same rigorous analysis found in my free releases. You can find my full premium card and daily packages on my handicapper profile. | |||||||
| Kansas vs Texas Tech | Texas Tech -175 | Top Premium | 64-61 | Loss | -175 | Show | |
5* NO BRAINER of the Week on Texas Tech -175 Texas Tech is a different beast when they play at United Supermarkets Arena. They are a perfect 11-0 at home this season and have owned this series lately. The Red Raiders have won the last two matchups against Kansas. That includes a 29-point blowout the last time these two met in Lubbock. Kansas enters this Big Monday tilt on a five-game winning streak, but they are running on fumes. Bill Self called his players "exhausted" after their physical win over BYU on Saturday. To make matters worse, leading scorer Darryn Peterson is dealing with an injury and is questionable to suit up. He pulled himself out of the last game and his absence would leave a massive hole in the Jayhawks' rotation. Without a fully healthy Peterson, Kansas loses over 21 points per game of production. Texas Tech will capitalize on that lack of depth with their own star power. JT Toppin is averaging a double-double and will be a nightmare for a tired Kansas frontcourt. He is one of the most efficient interior scorers in the country and thrives on second-chance points. The Red Raiders are also the best three-point shooting team in the Big 12 right now. They hit over 39% of their shots from deep and average over 11 makes per game. That perimeter pressure is a major problem for a Kansas defense that just gave up 82 points over the weekend. The Jayhawks are vulnerable on the perimeter when they aren't at full strength. Texas Tech is looking to rebound after a road loss at UCF and usually plays their best basketball following a defeat. They have the depth, the shooting, and the home crowd behind them tonight. Trust the home-court advantage and the fresher legs in this spot. This is a classic letdown situation for a gassed Kansas squad. I like the Texas Tech ML (-175) | |||||||
| Pelicans vs Hornets | Pelicans +7½ -115 | Top Premium | 95-102 | Win | 100 | Show | |
5* NO BRAINER on Pelicans +7½ Catching seven and a half points with a team that has already beaten this opponent once this season is a massive gift. Zion Williamson missed the first matchup between these two teams and his presence on the interior is a nightmare for Charlotte. Charlotte has found some rhythm with a three-game home win streak, but that has only served to inflate this line past where it should be. They rank in the top ten in offensive rebounding and will generate plenty of second-chance points against a smaller Charlotte unit. I expect a tight game that comes down to the final few possessions at the Spectrum Center. I like the Pelicans +7.5 (-115) | |||||||
PICKS IN PROGRESS
4* VEGAS INSIDER on Southern Illinois +9
Southern Illinois is catching way too many points in this Missouri Valley showdown.
The spread is inflated based on home-court bias and doesn't reflect how these two teams actually match up.
The Salukis play at one of the slowest tempos in the entire country.
They force opponents into long possessions and deep shot clocks on every single trip.
When you limit the total number of possessions in a game, every point becomes much more valuable for the underdog.
Illinois State does not have the offensive firepower to pull away and hide in a game like this.
The Redbirds struggle with shooting consistency and generally fail to thrive in a grind-it-out environment.
Southern Illinois brings a top-tier defensive unit that ranks high in effective field goal percentage allowed.
They excel at contesting the three-point line and forcing teams into mid-range jumpers.
The Salukis also do a great job of taking care of the basketball and avoiding live-ball turnovers.
Illinois State does not play an aggressive enough style of defense to disrupt the Salukis' offensive sets.
This should be a low-possession, low-scoring affair where neither team gets much breathing room.
Nine points is a massive cushion in a game that will likely be played in the low 60s.
The Salukis have a long history of keeping these rivalry games tight regardless of where they are played.
They have covered the spread in four of their last five trips to this arena.
Expect a physical battle that comes down to the final few possessions.
Take the points with the live underdog in a classic conference defensive struggle.
I like the Southern Illinois +9 (-110).
4* VEGAS INSIDER on Canisius +3
Canisius and Niagara meet for another "Battle of the Bridge" and the wrong team is favored in this rivalry spot.
Niagara is laying three points at home, but they haven't shown the consistency to justify being a favorite against their biggest rival.
The Golden Griffins have the clear advantage on the offensive glass in this matchup.
They are one of the best teams in the MAAC at creating second-chance points and Niagara has been soft in the paint all season.
Canisius plays a physical brand of basketball that tends to frustrate the Purple Eagles' backcourt.
Niagara is prone to turnovers when pressured and Canisius thrives on turning those mistakes into easy transition buckets.
The Purple Eagles are also struggling with their perimeter defense lately.
They are giving up way too many open looks from three-point range and the Griffs have the shooters to capitalize.
In a rivalry game like this, the intensity usually leads to a lower-scoring, grind-it-out affair.
Points are at a premium and getting a full possession of cushion is a gift for bettors.
Canisius has covered the spread in four of their last five road games.
They are not intimidated by the atmosphere at the Gallagher Center and have historically played well in this building.
Niagara’s offense relies too heavily on individual playmaking.
When their shots are not falling, they do not have a reliable secondary option to keep them in games.
The Griffs are the more disciplined team and they shoot a higher percentage from the free-throw line.
That efficiency will be the difference in the final two minutes of a tight contest.
I expect this game to come down to the final shot.
I like the Canisius +3.
Complete Review of Handicapper Jimmy Boyd’s Sports Bets
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Of course we are always right up front with the results of our handicappers. You can see for yourself right here what plays Jimmy had yesterday, including his free pick. We never want you to have a single shred of doubt about the records on our site, so we are as transparant as possible in helping reassure you and the other visitors about our results.
And remember, Jimmy nearly always gives a free pick out each day. If you subscribe to his newsletter you’ll get Jimmy’s daily free pick report in your email each and every day. But, you can also get additional free sports picks from several other top handicappers each and every day. See who has been doing well with their comp selections and profit. Just remember, the play below and all of the free plays on our site are the weakest plays our handicappers have for today. If you want the best bets on the board you’ll have to sign up for one of their premium subscriptions.
Now, a little bit more about Boyd and his accomplishments. He really is known as one of the best NBA handicappers in the world. He has top tens during the 2008-09 season (3rd), the 2011-12 season (7th), the 2009-10 season (8th), and in 2010-11 (9th).
You will also see his name among the top CBB handicappers around. He was 5th in 2013-14 and 9th in 2012-13. That is a big reason why he was the leader in total profit during the 2008-09 and 2013-14 basketball seasons. Plus he was 10th in basketball profits back in 2011-12. Simply put during the winter months there aren’t many names that can be mentioned in the same sentence as Boyd.
