Frank Sawyer is on an 12 of 16 (75%) MLB HOT STREAK that has fueled a 19 of 28 (68%) MLB run -- and now he spots a SUPER O/U SITUATION for Saturday! BANK on Frank!
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At 7:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (905) and the Washington Nationals (906) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Anibal Sanchez. THE SITUATION: San Diego (64-51) has won three straight games after their 10-5 victory against the Nationals in the opening game of this series. Washington (37-77) has lost two in a row and eight of their last nine contests.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Padres have scored a combined 23 runs in their last two games as their lineup becomes accustomed to the additions of Juan Soto and Josh Bell. They have played 4 straight Overs after winning their last game. The Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest — and they have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after scoring at least nine runs in their last game. The Over is also 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 5-1-2 in their last 8 games on the road. Darvish gets the ball for San Diego with his 10-5 record along with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 21 starts. The sabermetrics do call for some regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.47 and 3.62 moving forward. And while the right-hander has a 2.17 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .172 in his ten stars at home, those numbers rise to a 4.37 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .256 in his 11 starts on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season when Darvish had a 3.38 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .206 in 17 home starts but a 5.54 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and .244 opponent’s batting average in 13 starts on the road. The Padres have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total with Darvish on the mound priced as a money-line favorite at -200 or higher. He faces a Nationals’ team that is hitting the ball surprisingly well even after trading away Soto and Bell to them. Since August 3rd after that trade was completed, Washington ranks 10th in MLB in weighted on-base percentage and weighted Runs Created — and the Over is 6-1-2 in those eight games. The Nationals have played The Over is 5-0-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is 5-0-2 in their last 7 games after a loss - and the Over is 4-1-2 in their last 7 games after allowing five or more runs in their last contest. Additionally, Washington has played 7 of their last 10 games at home Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total when priced as a money-line underdog at +175 or higher. They counter with Sanchez who has an 0-5 record this season with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP in five starts. The right-hander probably should be out of the league at this point — but the Nationals want him to eat innings the rest of the way while they conduct their soft tank to better position themselves for draft position. When he last pitched two years ago, he was saddled with a 6.62 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .313 in 11 starts which helps explain why he did not pitch in the majors last season. The sabermetrics project an ERA of 5.13 and 5.37 moving forward based on his peripheral numbers. He has already allowed eight home runs in his 25 innings of work this year — and he surrendered 11 home runs in 53 innings back in 2020. The Nationals have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total in August with Sanchez on the mound — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when he is pitching as a money-line underdog priced at +150 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: The Padres have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher — and the Over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 10* MLB Saturday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (905) and the Washington Nationals (906) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Anibal Sanchez. Best of luck for us — Frank.
Our Review of Frank Sawyer Handicapper from Hollywood Sports
Frank Sawyer started Hollywood Sports over 20 years ago and has been helping clients win more of their bets every day since. He got his name from being an active writer-producer in the movie industry. He quickly got a name for himself as a sharp bettor. Before you even knew it many of LA’s biggest names started to Frank. He quickly realized there is a bigger market outside of the A-listers who crave winning picks on a daily basis.
Sawyer is one of the best sports handicappers around because he gives such detailed analysis with his winners. You will have no doubts as to why he likes the games that he does. He uses a nice combination of intuitive feel and technical situations.
Frank loves fading teams that are over-valued in public perception and taking teams most bettors will be down on. He is able to identify these teams well by keeping his ear on the ground and watching national television shows and listening to popular radio stations.
It doesn’t matter if you need help with baseball, basketball or football Frank can help you win more of your bets. He has a rating system of 25*, 20*, and 10* plays and while all have shown to be winners, his higher rated selections are as close to a sure thing as you’ll find.