Frank Sawyer of Hollywood Sports Reviewed

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 8/4:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Monday is with Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks. San Diego (58-55) had won three games in a row before their 5-1 loss on the road against the Diamondbacks on Monday. The Padres have played 18 of their 29 road games Under the Total at night this season. They have also played 9 of their last 13 road games Under the Total against fellow NL West rivals. Arizona (60-53) has won five of their last six games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last game. The Diamondbacks have also played 13 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer is on a 9 of 12 (75%) MLB run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays to further his 18 of 26 (69%) and 38 of 61 (62%) MLB winning streaks with featured plays! Now Frank furthers his 17 of 23 (74%) MLB sides streak with featured plays with a SUPER SIDE SITUATION for Tuesday night! Want ONE MORE WINNER for Tuesday? BANK on Frank!

At 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (960) versus the San Diego Padres (959), listing both starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez and Randy Vasquez. THE SITUATION: Arizona (60-53) had won five of their last six games after their 5-1 victory at home against the Padres in the opening game of this NL West series. San Diego (59-54) saw their three-game winning streak end with the loss.  

REASONS TO TAKE THE DIAMONDBACKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Arizona has won 10 of their last 14 games after winning their last game. They have now won 32 of their 54 games at home this season — and they have won 23 of their last 35 home games when priced as a money-line favorite at -110 or higher. The Diamondbacks have also won 13 of their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, they have won 22 of their last 33 games against fellow NL West rivals. They give the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 10-3 record with a 2.48 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in 22 starts this season. The southpaw has a 1.29 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in his last two starts. He has been more effective at home, where he owns a 2.47 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 11 starts as opposed to his 2.49 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP in 11 starts on the road. He also sports a 1.76 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP in 14 starts at night. He should pitch well against this Padres team that ranks 21st and 22nd since June 1st on the road against left-handed pitchers. San Diego had won eight of their last nine games before last night’s contest — but they just completed a successful six-game home stand. The Padres have lost 13 of their last 19 games on the road — and they have lost 21 of their last 31 games on the road against teams with a winning record. They counter with Randy Vasquez, who has a 6-6 record with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in 21 games (17 starts). After a good start to the season, he has been saddled with a 6.45 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP in his last 44 2/3 innings, which cost him his spot in the starting rotation. This is likely just a spot start tonight before Robbie Ray and Casey Mize enter their starting rotation after being acquired at the trade deadline. The deeper sabermetrics called for his near-inevitable regression. Both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.92 and 5.07 moving forward. His expected ERA (xERA) from Statcast, which incorporates exit velocity and hard-hit rate into the otherwise fielding-independent data, sits at 6.48. He faces a Diamondbacks team that ranks sixth in MLB since July 3rd in weighted On-Base Average and weighted Runs Created at home against left-handed pitchers. 

FINAL TAKE: The Diamondbacks have won the last two meetings between these two teams — and the Padres have lost 10 of their last 16 games on the road when playing with double-revenge. 10* MLB Tuesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Arizona Diamondbacks (960) versus the San Diego Padres (959), listing both starting pitchers Eduardo Rodriguez and Randy Vasquez. Best of luck for us — Frank.