Alex Smart Free Picks & Sports Handicapper Review

Former Cy Young award winner Keuchel (2-5, 7.93)  was on the verge of being let go or reassigned by the  Chicago White Sox at the end of May after giving up six runs in back-to-back starts,  which pushed his  ERA to 7.88 on the season .

The Diamondbacks signed him to a minor-league deal on June 6, and he was recalled from Triple-A Reno on Sunday. He than got the call  against the visiting Detroit Tigers, allowing four runs and six hits in 4 1/3 innings of the 11-7 victory. This is a bad matchup for him today against a Colorado side that seems to play their best offensive baseball at the launching pad known as Coors Field. 

Halos starter Sandoval is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP and  has been in top form of late allowing two or less runs in six of his last seven starts.  The Angels starter also owns a  viable looking .328 xwOBA, .259 xBA, and .401 xSLG and has the big gun to keep the marauding Astros hitters and offense at bay. 

Houston rocked the Angels yesterday 8-1 but Im expecting the downtrodden Angels to bounce back today.

LA ANGELS are 10-3  against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 3-9  against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this seaso

 MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 42-65 L/25 seasons for a 61%  go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on LA Angels to win 

Marlins starter Castano has logged 6 2/3 innings while going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA vs the Nationals in his previous starts against them, and a rinse and repeat type situation is my bet here today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Jackson Tetreault (2-1, 4.24 ERA) goes to the hill for  the Nationals for his fourth career game, all starts. He won each of his last two outings, throwing a combined 13 innings while allowing four runs (one earned) and deserves respect here in the underdog role. 

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a terrible team (38%) or less, in July games are 18-45 L25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate.

Play on Washington Nationals to win 

Anderson the Dodgers starter is off his first loss of the season last time out and Im betting he may suffer another registered loss here today vs the Padres. With Darvish who own s a 2.14 ERA in his L/3 starts  on the hill for the Padres Im betting they will be a tough out in this tilt. 

Padres have averaged 5.2 rpg on the road this season.

MELVIN is 14-4  against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

SAN DIEGO is 18-5  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more  runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in July games are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against  69% conversion rate. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), in July games are 27-14 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the SD Padres to win 

As starter BLACKBURN is 6-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 7-2 against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record) BLACKBURN is 6-1 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season. Blackburn is 5-0 on the road this season while garnering a 1.44 ERA and gives his team viable edge here on the road on a value moneyline. 

SEATTLE is 7-14  against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. 

 OAKLAND is 9-3  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Play on Oakland to win 

Both these starters are in top form entering this tilt, however, here at home with a more consistent offense the Giants have the edge. 

Giants starter WEBB is 10-0  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 16-3   against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WEBB is 20-2  against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 62-14 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after getting shut out are 96-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

Play on SF Giants to win