Ross Benjamin from RBWins Sports Handicapper Review

Dallas @ New England 4:25 PM ET

Game# 271-272

Play On: New England +3.5 (5*)

I have seen this scenario too many times over the past 20 years with Bill Belichick. He’s brilliant in devising successful defensive game plans when facing dominant and explosive offenses. The Cowboys offense certainly qualifies in the regard as they enter this week averaging 34.0 points scored and 439.6 yards gained per game. Despite their 2-3 record, New England still field a formidable defense that allows just 18.4 points and 317.4 yards per game. Conversely, Dallas has allowed 23.4 points and 390.4 yards per game. Nonetheless, those numbers could be much worse if it weren’t for the fact, they’ve forced 12 turnovers through 5 games. New England rookie quarterback Mack Jones and his offense will be able to move the ball on Dallas and will be extremely cognizant of the opposition’s uncanny ability to force turnovers. By the way, since 10/14/2021 and all with Belichick as their head coach, New England has gone 7-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 4.0 or less, and they won by a decisive average of 12.9 points per game.  I like New England to win this game outright but will gladly take the points as an additional bonus and not get greedy. Bet the Patriots plus the points.

Packers @ Bears 1:00 PM ET

Game # 255-256

Play On: Chicago +6.0 (5*)

Green Bay will be a popular bet on Sunday especially when it comes to public perception. Case in point, this line opened at 4.5 and is now up to 6.0 with an overwhelming number of bets and money being placed on Green Bay. However, despite how bad the Chicago offense has looked this season they’re still 3-2 thus far and have won 2 in a row. The Chicago defense has been the deciding factor in their 3 wins. During those victories they allowed 13.3 points and 297.7 yards per game. Chicago is also 2-0 SU&ATS at home thus . Furthermore, since 10/4/2015, the Bears have gone an extremely profitable 15-2 ATS when playing before Game 15 of the season and as a home underdog of 3.0 or greater. The average line in those 17 games was 4.1 and Chicago won 9 of those contests straight up. I’m going with a hardcore contrarian approach in this one. Bet the Bears plus points.

Chargers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET

Game# 261-262

Play On: Ravens -2.5 (10*)

Sometimes it’s just best to keep it simple. The Ravens have been of the best running teams in the NFL over the past few seasons. This year is no different as they’re averaging a robust 148.8 yards rushing per game. That’s good for 4th best in the league. Conversely, the Chargers are dead last in rushing yards allowed per contest at 157.6. As a matter of fact, during last Sunday’s win over Cleveland, they allowed the Browns to rush for 230 yards and average a massive 6.6 yards per carry. Additionally, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has been red hot in the air during the previous 2 games after going 59-80 (73.8%) and throwing for an enormous 741 yards.

The Chargers are coming off a 47-42 win over Cleveland last week. Since 1980, there has been just 28 regular season games in which a team won while allowing 40 points or greater, and only 12 of those teams were installed as an underdog in their next game. When pairing that up with Baltimore coming off a 31-25 win over Indianapolis in their previous game, and it presents a rare and unbeaten NFL betting situation which is displayed below.

Any NFL regular season underdog (Chargers) that’s coming off a win in which they allowed 40 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Ravens) that scored 28 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 0-7 SU&ATS since 1980. Those 7 underdogs lost by a decisive margin of 20.1 points per game.